This is a continuation of the previous posting. Please click here to go to the first posting. The answer is 41%. Why? To recap, 85% of the car is Green and the remaining 15% Blue A witness testified that the cab involved in the accident was Blue The witness was tested for the ability to […]
Entries Tagged as 'base rate neglect'
Bayes’ theorem and the base rate neglect
December 23rd, 2011 No Comments
Tags: base rate neglect · Bayes' theorem · human behaviour
