The Dilemma:
Suppose you have 2 urns in front of you, Urn A and Urn B . Both urns contain red marbles and black marbles. Urn A has 50 of each colour, making it to a total of 100 marbles, but Urn B’s mixture is unknown. What we know however is that it also contains 100 marbles.
If I offer you a bet, say RM100 per correct guess, which colour will you bet on: